co-smicway.net |
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the punters lab |
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Football prediction software |
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How does it work ? We use the in-house software "the CosmiC Football Tool" (see here)
to work out some important matches and we make a selection from those as our advice of the day.We give you the probabilities for the possible outcomes (home-draw-away). We don't say "this will happen" as this statement has no real meaning in football. We also give the corresponding "fair prices", the hypothe- tical prices with zero percent profit percentage for the betting company. So if we say 40% - 40% - 20%, the fair prices are 2.50 - 2.50 - 5.00. This software, which is in use for many years, shows success rate, or predictivity, higher than the tools used by bookies to set their prices. It does n't mean we win every time or that the bigger percentage wins. What it means is if a value bet is spotted then it is a true value bet in the statistical sense. If the probability is 40% (so fair price is 2.50) and your operator pays 3.00 then it is a value bet. Naturally you are likely to find more opportunities with bookmakers who operate with low profit percentages.
Press synthesis tool for the UK races (see here)
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